China Feed Market Review & Outlook Proposal 2009/2010

Research Background

In 2009 China feed industry faced great pressure from dropping demand, causing a great number of SMEs stopping operating.

Externally, feed stuff prices remain in low level in up-stream market, shrinking the cost, however, tremendous changes has been made in farming industry and various feeds are in limited demand, causing various feeds sucking in losses. Meanwhile, the farming industry is still consolidating, which definitely reduce the development of feed indsutry. Additionally, increasing investments are put into scaled hog raising section, most of which are equipped with supporting feed production facilities. Consequently, commercial feed market is shrinking, as well as its returns.

Internally, it is still in consolidation process. Large numbers of feed enterprises has entered farming industry and slaughtering industry as to prevent from potential risk and reducing returns. In addition, supervision departments have intended to raise permission standards, support leading enterprises and promote consolidation process. We can say the economic recession speed up the consolidation of feed industry and it is estimated that numbers of enterprises integrating farming and feed processing will emerge around 2013.

This report will analysis production, consumption, trade and prices of the whole industry, as well as major feed stuff, inculding corn, soymeal, feeding fishmeal, bonemeal and feeding Met, and review conpetition situation and external market in 2009 based on macro-economy, feed stuff market and farming industry. Meanwhile, it will forecast its growth in 2010.

This report is a joint product of the experts of the Livestock and Feed Department, Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultants Ltd.. These senior analysts also make advice for relevant departments and associations, and keep a beneficial relationship with major feed enterprises, relevant industry enterprises, which provide precious information and data for this report, assuring the veracity, authority and forward looking. This is a rare report which shall be of great value for investment companies, enterprises, material suppliers, equipment suppliers and research institutes both at home and abroad to understand the development trend of the feed industry, to make decisions on the positioning of the enterprise and to formulate development strategies.


Report Highlights

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Table of Contents
1 External Environment 1
1.1 Macro Economic and its Effect 1
1.2 Feed Legislation and Effects 1
1.3 Grain Production and Effects 1
1.4 Farm Size and Effects 2
1.5 Food safety and Effects 2
1.6 Grain Processing Policy and Effects 2
2 Production & Consumption 2
2.1 Global Production 2
2.2 China Feedmill Structure 3
2.2.1 Structure by Enterprise Type 3
2.2.2 Structure by Product Type 3
2.2.3 Structure by Capacity of Complete Feed Producers 4
2.3 China Feed Demand 4
2.3.1 H1N1 and Influences 4
2.3.2 Influences of Re-open of US Market tor Chinese Poultry Meat 4
2.4 China Feed Supply 5
2.4.1 Feedmill Capacity 5
2.4.2 Feed Production 5
2.4.3 Feed Production of Large Feed Groups 6
2.4.4 Feed Production of Scaled Feedmills 6
2.5 Profiting of Feedmills 6
2.5.1 Profiting by Animals 6
2.5.2 Direct Sale and Effects 7
2.6 China Feed Supply & Demand 8
2.6.1 Total Supply & Demand 8
2.6.2 Supply & Demand of Hog Feed 8
2.6.3 Supply & Demand of Meat-type Poultry Feed 8
2.6.4 Supply & Demand of Egg-type Poultry Feed 9
2.6.5 Supply & Demand of Aquafeed 9
2.6.6 Supply & Demand of Ruminant Feed 9
2.7 Main Investments in 2009 9
2.8 Supply & Demand in 2010 10
3 Feedstuff Consumption 12
3.1 Feedstuff Consumption of Complete Feed 13
3.2 Feedstuff Consumption of Farm-mixed Feed 14
3.2.1 Feedstuff Consumption Mixed with Concentrates 14
3.2.2 Feedstuff Consumption Mixed with Pre-mixes 15
3.3 Feedstuff Consumption of Hog Feed 16
3.4 Feedstuff Consumption of Meat-type Poultry Feed 17
3.2 Feedstuff Consumption of Egg -type Poultry Feed 18
3.6 Feedstuff Consumption of Aquaculture 18
3.7 Feedstuff Consumption of 2010 19
4 China Corn Market 20
4.1 Global Market 20
4.2 China Corn Supply 20
4.3 China Corn Demand for Feed Use 20
4.3.1 Demand and Price 20
4.4 Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use 21
4.4.1 Structure by Complete Feed & Farm-mixed Feed 21
4.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type 22
4.5 China Corn Demand for Feed Use in 2010 23
5 China Soymeal Market 24
5.1 Global Market 24
5.2 China Soybean Supply 24
5.2.1 Domestic Supply 24
5.2.2 Imports 24
5.3 Soymeal Demand 25
5.3.1 Demand and Price 25
5.3.2 Substitution of Other Feedstuffs 25
5.4 Consumption Structure of Soymeal 26
5.4.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-mixed Feed 26
5.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type 26
5.5 China Soymeal Market in 2010 27
6 China Fishmeal Market 28
6.1 Global Market 28
6.2 China Fishmeal Supply 28
6.2.1 Domestic Supply 28
6.2.2 Imports 29
6.3 China Fishmeal Demand 30
6.3.1 Demand and Price 30
6.3.2 Substitution of Other Feedstuffs 31
6.4 Consumption Structure of Fishmeal 31
6.4.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-mixed Feed 31
6.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type 32
6.5 China Fishmeal Market in 2010 33
7 China Meat & Bone Meal Market 34
7.1 China Meat & Bone Meal Supply 34
7.1.1 Domestic Supply 34
7.1.2 Imports 34
7.2 China Meat & Bone Meal Demand 35
7.3 Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal 35
7.3.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-mixed Feed 35
7.3.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type 35
7.4 China Meat & Bone Meal Market in 2010 36
8 China Lysine Market 37
8.1 Global Market 37
8.2 China Lysine Supply 37
8.2.1 Main Producers 37
8.2.2 Supply of 98.5? Lysine 39
8.2.3 Supply of 65? Lysine 40
8.2.4 Imports 40
8.3 China Lysine Demand 40
8.4 Consumption Structure of Lysine 41
8.4.1 Structure by 98.5? and 65? Lysine 41
8.4.2 Structure by Domestic Consumption and Exports 41
8.5 China Lysine Market in 2010 42
9 China Methionine Market 43
9.1 Global Market 43
9.2 China Methionine Supply 43
9.2.1 Domestic Supply 43
9.2.2 Imports 44
9.3 China Methionine Demand 44
9.4 China Methionine Demand in 2010 45
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Table 1, China Manufactured Feed Output by Provinces, 2009 1
Table 1, China Manufactured Feed Output by Provinces, 2009 2
Table 2, China Monthly Compound Feed Output by Scaled Feedmills, 2001-2009 3
Table 3, China Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2009 4
Table 4, China Hog Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2009 5
Table 5, China Egg-type Poultry Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2009 6
Table 6, China Meat-type Poultry Complete Feed Output by Provinces,2000-2009 8
Table 7, China Aquaculture Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2009 9
Table 8, China Ruminant Complete Feed Output by Provinces, 2000-2009 10
Table 9, China Complete Feed Output of Other Animals by Provinces,2000-2009 11
Table 10, China Concentrate Output by Provinces, 2000-2009 13
Table 11, China Premix Output by Provinces, 2000-2009 14
Table 12, China Feed and Feedstuff Retail Prices in 2009 15
Table 13, China Corn Export by Destinations in 2009 16
Table 14, China Corn Import by Sources in 2009 16
Table 15, China Soybean Meal Export by Destinations in 2009 17
Table 16, China Sopybean Meal Import by Sources in 2009 18
Table 17, China Fishmeal Output by Regions, 2000-2009 18
Table 18, China Fishmeal Import by Sources in 2009 19
Table 19, China Fishmeal Supply & Demand Balance Sheet, 2000-2009 20
Table 20, China Meat & Bone Meal Output by Regions, 2000-2009 21
Table 21, China Meat & Bone Meal (with cattle and sheep contents) Import by Sources in 2009 22
Table 22, China Other Meat & Bone Meal Import by Sources in 2009 22
Table 23, China Meat & Bone Meal Supply & Demand Balance Sheet, 2000-2009 23
Table 24, China Lysine Output by Regions, 2000-2009 23
Table 25, China Lysine Import by Sources in 2009 24
Table 26, China Lysine Export by Destinations in 2009 24
Table 27, China Lysine Easter & Slats Import by Sources in 2009 25
Table 28, China Lysine Easter & Slats Export by Destinations in 2009 26
Table 29, China Lysine Supply & Demand Balance Sheet, 2000-2009 29
Table 30, China Methionine Import by Sources in 2009 29
Table 31, China Methionine Supply & Demand Balance Sheet, 2000-2009 30
Fig 2.1, Global Manufactured Feed Output, 2000-2009 3
Fig 2.2, China Manufactured Feed Output, 2000-2009 5
Fig 2.3, Manufactured Feed Output of Large Feedmills and All Feedmills in China, 2001-2009 6
Fig 2.4, China Retail Prices of Complete Feed of Hog, Broiler and Layer, 2000-2009 7
Fig 2.5, Profits of Production of Complete Feed of Hog, Broiler and Layer, 2006-2009 7
Fig 2.6, China Manufactured Feed Output, 2007-2010 11
Fig 3.1, Total Feedstuff Consumption of China, 2008-2009 12
Fig 3.2, Structure of Total Feedstuff Consumption in China, 2009 13
Fig 3.3, Feedstuff Consumption by Complete Feed Production in China, 2008-2009 13
Fig 3.4, Structure of Feedstuff Consumption by Complete Feed Production in China, 2009 14
Fig 3.5, Feedstuff Consumption by Self-mixed Feed Using Concentrates in China, 2008-2009 15
Fig 3.6, Feedstuff Consumption Structure by Self-mixed Feed Using Concentrates in China, 2009 15
Fig 3.7, Feedstuff Consumption by Self-mixed Feed Using Pre-mix in China, 2008-2009 16
Fig 3.8, Feedstuff Consumption Structure by Self-mixed Feed Using Pre-mix in China, 2009 16
Fig 3.9, China Feedstuff Consumption Structure of Hog Feed, 2009 17
Fig 3.10, China Feedstuff Consumption Structure of Meat-type Poultry Feed, 2009 17
Fig 3.11, China Feedstuff Consumption Structure of Egg-type Poultry Feed, 2009 18
Fig 3.12, China Feedstuff Consumption Structure of Aquafeed, 2009 19
Fig 4.1, China Corn Output, 2000-2009 20
Fig 4.2, China Corn Volume Used in Feed Production and Corn Retail Price, 2000-2009 21
Fig 4.3, China Corn Volume Used in Complete Feed Production and Self-mixed Feed, 2007-2009 22
Fig 4.4, China Corn Volume Used in Feed Production by Animals, 2007-2009 22
Fig 5.1, China Soybean Output & Import, 2000-2009 24
Fig 5.2, China Soybean Meal Used in Feed Production and Soybean Meal Retail Price, 2000-2009 25
Fig 5.3, China Soybean Meal Used in Complete Feed Production and Self-mixed Feed, 2007-2009 26
Fig 5.4, China Soybean Meal Used in Feed Production by Animals, 2007-2009 27
Fig 6.1, Global Fishmeal Output, 2000-2009 28
Fig 6.2, China Fishmeal Output, 2000-2009 29
Fig 6.3, China Fishmeal Production by Regions, 2009 29
Fig 6.4, China Fishmeal Output & Import, 2000-2009 30
Fig 6.5, China Fishmeal Used in Feed Production and Fishmeal Retail Price, 2000-2009 31
Fig 6.6, China Fishmeal Used in Complete Feed Production and Self-mixed Feed, 2007-2009 32
Fig 6.7, China Fishmeal Used in Feed Production by Animals, 2008-2009 32
Fig 7.1, China Meat & Bone Meal Output, 2000-2009 34
Fig 7.2, China Meat & Bone Meal Used in Complete Feed Production and Self-mixed Feed, 2007-2009 35
Fig 7.3, China Meat & Bone Meal Used in Feed Production by Animals, 2007-2009 36
Fig 8.1, China Lysine Output, 2000-2009 37
Fig 8.2, China Lysine Production by Regions, 2009 38
Fig 8.3, China Lysine Production by Companies, 2009 39
Fig 8.4, China Output of 98.5% & 65% Lysine, 2000-2009 39
Fig 8.5, China Lysine Import & Export, 2000-2009 40
Fig 8.6, China 98.5% Lysine Consumption and Wholesale Price, 2002-2009 41
Fig 8.7, China Domestic Lysine Consumption & Export (converted into 98.5% lysine), 2000-2009 42
Fig 9.1, China Methioinine Import, 2000-2009 44
Fig 9.2, China Methionine Consumption and Wholesale Price, 2000-2008 45
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