Electric Power Industry Trends in China, 2005

Report Highlights

Electric power’s supply and demand is keeping a basic balance in China; however, the regional disparity is big. And the imbalance of demand and supply is very serious in some developed areas like south China, east China and north China.



We present triple layers structure to analysis the electric price form high to low: The international comparison shows that the comparative grid power price and the comparative sales price (comparative electric price equals to absolute electric price divides unit’s GDP) are on the high side, so the price may under the pressure of decline. ; however, due to the low absolute value, the pressure may reduced by the continual high growth of national economy.; meanwhile the comparison between countrywide average electricity price and regional average electricity price shows that the prices of the grid power in southern, eastern and the independent power grids in Fujian and Shandong are on the high side.



The ultimate aim of the electric price reform and the trend of electric power industry codetermined the adjustment of the electricity price is a long-term process. Meanwhile, due to the influence of the various original costs of the power stations, and the existence of sales radius and the extra cost of sales in different areas, the electricity prices will remain the variety in different areas, and there is no possibility to unify the price nationwide. The information of this report all root in trusty public data.
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Chapter One: Demand analysis

1.1 Considering the increase of GDP, electric power consumption will maintain a rapid growth rate for a long period.

1.2 Considering the end-users, changes occurs in the structure of electricity using, and electricity consumption keeps increasing.



Chapter Two: Supply analysis

2.1 Production status of electric power plants

2.2 output expand plan for five biggest electric power plants

2.3 Analysis of the potential entrants, foreign-funded and private power plants

2.4 Substitutes.



Chapter Three: Electricity price

3.1How the electricity price affected by the industry’s operation trends

3.2Policies affect electricity price
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Changes of GDP and electricity consumption, 1998-2004
Proportion changes between industrial consumption and life consumption
Increase of the installed capacity, 1981-2000
Increase of generation volume, 1981-2000
Comparison of the electric power plant’s return of capital
Cases of foreign investment in electric power industry
Electric power consumption and power generation from 1995 to 2005
Regional power grids’ average electricity price
The comparison between power grid price of listed power generation enterprisers and the average electricity price
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